The report focuses on consumer behavior related to shopping for traditional consumer packaged goods cpg categories, including food, overthecounter medications, household items, and health and beauty products. Climate change may challenge national security, classified. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. National intelligence councils recently released 140 page report global trends 2030, which reflects the consensus judgments of all 16 u. National intelligence council latest breaking news, pictures, videos, and special reports from the economic times. Offered as a companion to the us national intelligence. Instead, the report says, power will shift to networks and coalitions in a multipolar world. House permanent select committee on intelligence house select. This post will examine the bookend to this scenario, fusion, which represents the mostplausible bestcase scenario. The report is intended to stimulate strategic thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the.
The councils twitter account too has been active with continuous discussion about the report and its themes. Nov 10, 2012 this is the fifth installment in the national intelligence council s series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about possible futures and their implications. Alternative worlds the national intelligence council has released their fifth installment 10 december 2012 in a series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about potential global trajectories in the next fifteen to twenty years. Issues and options for congress congressional research service summary the national intelligence council nic, composed of some 18 senior analysts and national security policy experts, provides the u. Government printing office gpo, superintendent of documents, po box 391954. This version was released on january 9, 2017 by the office of the director of national intelligence.
Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence council s series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Intelligence council has issued a report describing. In clear and lively prose, the report gives an excellent overview of expert conventional wisdom on the major trends shaping global politics and. The papers in this volume provide the detailed evidentiary base for the national research councils report, intelligence analysis for. Intelligence analysis provides uptodate scientific guidance for the intelligence community ic so that it might improve individual and group judgments, communication between analysts, and analytic processes. That said, anyone seriously interested in what the world might look like 15 years down the road should mull this impressive report from the national intelligence council.
The papers in this volume provide the detailed evidentiary base for the national research council s report, intelligence analysis for. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and. Nuclear powers such as russia and pakistan and potential aspirants such as iran and north korea see nuclear weapons as compensation for other political and security weaknesses, heightening the risk of their use. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. Within the intelligence community, we were supported by the defense intelligence agencys armed forces medical intelligence center, the office of naval. Report of the national intelligence council s 2020 project is the third unclassified report prepared by the national intelligence council nic in recent years that takes a longterm view of the future.
Both the product and the process used to produce it benefited from lessons learned in previous iterations. Congressman danny heck wa10 introduced the climate security intelligence act, a bill that would establish a climate security intelligence center within the office of the director of national intelligence so that, in the congressmans words, the intelligence community has a focal point for climaterelated information, which will be crucial to our nations. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence councilled effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. At a critical juncture inquiries regarding this report may be made to mathew burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, on 703 4820741 and to the eu institute of security studies on 0033156891951. National intelligence council puts forth its latest quadrennial assessment of the dynamics driving events around the world. Report of the national intelligence council s 2020 project open pdf 6 mb mapping the global future. A condensed version of the report is also available 1.
Alternativeworldsa publication of the national intelligence council 2. Treverton, the newlyappointed chairman of the us national intelligence council nic, sat down with the atlantic council on december 1 for his first ontherecord discussion on adapting intelligence for national security efforts. How to read the national intelligence councils latest global. Or of nat io ctalternative re na f the di l in llige teworlds eo ic n f ce ofa publication of the national intelligence councildecember 2012nic 2012001isbn 9781929667215to view electronic version. How to read the national intelligence councils latest. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during. This is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about possible futures and their implications. Usa today a report by the national intelligence council predicts that the united states will lose its superpower status by 2030, but that no country including china will be a hegemonic power.
Sbis explorer made significant contributions to the technology content of this report, global trends 2030. National intelligence council how is national intelligence. The committee was originally established by the intelligence services act 1994, and was reformed, and its powers reinforced, by the justice and security act 20. The national intelligence council has released their fifth installment 10 december 2012 in a series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about potential global trajectories in the next fifteen to twenty years. National intelligence council nic collection cia foia. In context of a rich discussion on shifting risks and priorities, the conversation turned to the security implications of climate change. National intelligence estimates council on foreign relations. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world december 2004 to obtain a copy of this publication, please contact. Alternative worlds we looked at the dark stalled engines scenario, the most plausible worstcase scenario presented in the national intelligence councils nic comprehensive analysis. This week, the national intelligence council released its quadrennial report about global trends, and its a sober read. House permanent select committee on intelligence house. Us strategy for a postwestern world is a report released today by the atlantic council s strategic foresight initiative that urges the obama administration to seize a historic opportunity to ensure americas global interests over the long term.
By national security act of 1947, central intelligence group becomes central intelligence agency and the air force is established as a separate service branch and the office of. The following assessment is part of a series released every four years by the national intelligence council. As niels bohr noted, prediction is difficult, especially about the future. The national intelligence council s global trends 2030 report predicts that by the year 2030, a majority of the worlds population will be out of poverty. In this volume, they expanded their coverage of disruptive technologies, devoting a separate section. National intelligence council how is national intelligence council abbreviated. Jun 26, 2008 the national intelligence council has completed a new classified assessment that explores how climate change could threaten us security in the next 20 years by causing political instability, mass. The views expressed in this report do not reflect official us government positions. Coupon intelligence report influencing consumers along the path to purchase provides detailed insight into. The chance of nonstate actors conducting a cyberattack or using wmd also is increasing solar geomagnetic storms. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project open pdf 6 mb mapping the global future. National intelligence council the center for climate.
National intelligence plan director of the central. Global trends 2030 is not your fathers intelligence community assessment, says ohio university professor and ecsp senior advisor geoff dabelko. Peter groen take the time to look over the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils nic series of reports aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future entitled global trends 2030. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence council s nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. National intelligence councils new assessment of what the world will look like in 2030 shows significant business risks and opportunities from resource scarcity, urbanization. It supports and reports to the director of national intelligence. The intelligence and security committee of parliament isc is a statutory committee of parliament that has responsibility for oversight of the uk intelligence community. Intelligence estimates are coordinated by the national intelligence council nic, which reports directly to the director of national intelligence dni and is the intelligence communitys. National intelligence council global trends assessment. The national intelligence council nie releases a national intelligence estimate that warns iraq may be heading into a civil war.
Governance is getting harder, and the nature of power is changing. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. Discounts i receive on my smartphonemobile device andor download onto my store idloyalty card base. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence council led effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. We live in a world of incredible possibilities, thanks to industrial and technological progress, but that same progress is disrupting the statecentric global. On the national intelligence council this effort was conducted by the national intelligence officers for science and technology, and for economics, and the nics long range analysis unit. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. National intelligence council issues global trends 2030 report. National intelligence council releases global trends report. The national intelligence council today released its quadrennial global trends report.
National intelligence council the national intelligence council nic is best known as the organization that produces national intelligence estimates, which are intelligence communitywide forecasts of issues and challenges facing the security of the united states. National intelligence council nic collection this collection contains hundreds of intelligence reports, including many national intelligence estimates and other publications produced by the national intelligence council or its predecessor organizations, the office of national estimates and the office of reports and estimates since 1946. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. By national security act of 1947, central intelligence group becomes central intelligence agency and the air force is established as a separate service branch and the office of the secretary of defense is created. The us national intelligence council has issued a report describing tectonic shifts that are. The term black swan has been part of the popular vernacular for a number of years, but it is often thrown around so liberally that some clarification would be helpful in order to understand why and how global trends 2030 discusses black swans as an important outgrowth of the intelligence communitys analysis. National intelligence council predicts there will be no. This year, principal author mathew burrows and his colleagues.
National intelligence councils new assessment of what the world will look like in 2030 shows significant business risks and. What other trends does the national intelligence council foresee in 2030. Dec 10, 2012 the national intelligence council s global trends 2030 report predicts that by the year 2030, a majority of the worlds population will be out of poverty. In clear and lively prose, the report gives an excellent overview of expert conventional wisdom on the major trends shaping global politics and economics. The national intelligence council nic is the center for midterm and longterm strategic thinking within the united states intelligence community ic. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. The national intelligence councils global trends 2030 report predicts that by the year 2030, a majority of the worlds population will be out of poverty. The reportthe paradox of progressis rooted in conversations with more than 2,500 people around the. The national intelligence council has completed a new classified assessment that explores how climate change could threaten us security in the next 20 years by causing political instability, mass. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. The nie, compiled from reports produced by the 16 us intelligence agencies, says that the us has little control over events in iraq, and that the situation there will continue to deteriorate. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the. It leads the ics effort to produce national intelligence estimates and other documents.
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